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Trend analysis of A shares on December 10, 2024 and market outlook for tomorrow.Tomorrow's A-share market will also be significantly affected by macro policies and news. From a policy perspective, the recent fine-tuning trend of monetary policy and fiscal policy has attracted much attention. If the central bank releases further loose signals in the open market operation or monetary policy report, such as the expected increase in RRR cut and interest rate cut, it is expected to inject liquidity into the market, enhance market confidence, and thus promote the rebound of the index. In terms of fiscal policy, if specific policies and measures such as increasing investment in infrastructure construction and supporting the development of emerging industries are introduced, the relevant beneficiary sectors will hopefully drive the market sentiment to rebound.Tomorrow's A-share market will also be significantly affected by macro policies and news. From a policy perspective, the recent fine-tuning trend of monetary policy and fiscal policy has attracted much attention. If the central bank releases further loose signals in the open market operation or monetary policy report, such as the expected increase in RRR cut and interest rate cut, it is expected to inject liquidity into the market, enhance market confidence, and thus promote the rebound of the index. In terms of fiscal policy, if specific policies and measures such as increasing investment in infrastructure construction and supporting the development of emerging industries are introduced, the relevant beneficiary sectors will hopefully drive the market sentiment to rebound.

After today's adjustment, the trend differentiation of the technology growth sector may intensify tomorrow. Some leading enterprises with real core technology competitiveness and clear performance growth expectations may attract funds to bargain-hunting after adjustment, take the lead in stabilizing and rebounding, and drive the overall popularity of the science and technology sector to rebound; And some small and medium-sized technology stocks that lack performance support and rely only on concept speculation may continue to face downward pressure. In addition, as a long-term stable force in the A-share market, the consumer sector is often more defensive when the market fluctuates greatly. If the overall market sentiment is still cautious tomorrow, the food and beverage, medicine and biology sub-sectors in the consumer sector are expected to continue to gain the favor of funds and maintain a relatively stable trend, which will play a certain supporting role in the index.(B) the internal structure of the market differentiationFirst, today's A-share three major indexes opened higher and went lower.

From the internal structure of the market, the phenomenon of plate differentiation is more prominent. The weighting sectors such as finance in early trading once drove the index to open higher, but the follow-up of other sectors was weak. On the one hand, science and technology growth sectors, such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors, which had a large increase in the previous period, are facing profit-taking pressure. With the recent gradual increase in the valuation of related sectors, some investors choose to lock in profits, and funds flow out of these high-valuation sectors, which has a certain impact on the overall popularity of the market. On the other hand, the traditional cyclical sectors, such as steel and coal, are relatively depressed due to multiple factors such as overcapacity, environmental protection policies and fluctuation of downstream demand, and failed to form effective support after the index opened higher, resulting in the lack of core driving force for sustained growth in the market, and finally moved towards a low trend.At the same time, changes in news at home and abroad will also have an important impact on A shares. Internationally, the results of monetary policy meetings in major economies and the latest progress in international trade negotiations may trigger global market fluctuations, which will then be transmitted to the A-share market. For example, if the Fed releases a dove signal, it will help global funds to return to emerging markets, including the A-share market, and provide external assistance for the index to go up. In China, industry-level policy news, such as the adjustment of centralized purchasing policy in pharmaceutical industry and the continuation or optimization of subsidy policy in new energy automobile industry, will directly affect the trend of related industry sectors, and then have a chain reaction to the pattern of the whole A-share market.Second, the analysis of the reasons for high opening and low walking